Future Babble

In "Future Babble," award-winning journalist Dan Gardner explores the unreliable nature of expert predictions and our fixation on forecasting the future. Utilizing key research, particularly from UC Berkeley's Philip Tetlock, Gardner reveals how well-known pundits often have the same accuracy as random chance, while those who adopt a more nuanced, skeptical approach—likened to "foxes"—tend to offer better insight. With a blend of humor and compelling examples, this audiobook challenges listeners to reconsider how they perceive certainty in predictions and highlights the complexities of foreseeing what lies ahead.