How to Expect the Unexpected

"How to Expect the Unexpected" explores the history and science of prediction, examining why humans have struggled to forecast future events accurately—from personal decisions to global crises. The book delves into the biases and errors that often distort our judgments, offering insights on how to identify unreliable predictions and improve our own forecasting skills. Engaging and accessible, it aims to equip readers with a better understanding of when to trust forecasts and when to be cautious.